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2024 EL NINO FORECAST #8978457 12/26/23 05:45 PM
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jdickey Offline OP
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For the weather watchers this year.... looks like wet spring and maybe the summer, too.

"An El Niño event favors wetter winters across the south and the southwestern United States and drier and warmer winters in the Pacific Northwest," Aaron Levine, a research scientist at the Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean and Ecosystem Studies at the University of Washington"

"The ongoing El Niño event is expected to last at least until April 2024, influencing weather patterns and contributing to a further spike in temperatures, both on land and in the ocean."

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/el-ni%C3%B1o-forecasts-2024-weather-to-be-radically-different-than-last-year/ar-AA1m0JDG?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=4b4f82ecf66f4b5bb6f76aec3474a6e9&ei=33

Last edited by jdickey; 12/26/23 05:46 PM.

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Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8978458 12/26/23 05:48 PM
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El Nino years are usually very good for antler production and fawn survival rates

Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8978472 12/26/23 06:31 PM
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What about the cold and wet winter we were supposed to have….


For it is not the quarry that we truly seek, but the adventure.
Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8978473 12/26/23 06:35 PM
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It was supposed to be extra cold and I’ve got butterflies flying around my ranch.

Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: ctonsmitty] #8978481 12/26/23 07:06 PM
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Originally Posted by ctonsmitty
El Nino years are usually very good for antler production and fawn survival rates


Should be good for the Bigfoot population, as well.

Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8978483 12/26/23 07:17 PM
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one can only hope

Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8978499 12/26/23 08:19 PM
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My ponds/tanks are all at around 30% capacity. Spring fed creek has stopped flowing. Bring on the floods.


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Boy, if I say "sic em", you'd better look for something to bite. Sam Shelley, Rancher Muleshoe Texas 1892-1985 RIP
Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: Sneaky] #8978631 12/27/23 02:39 AM
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Originally Posted by Sneaky
Originally Posted by ctonsmitty
El Nino years are usually very good for antler production and fawn survival rates


Should be good for the Bigfoot population, as well.


They found a new hotel in downtown Weatherford to hunker down in this year! LOL!
chicken roflmao


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Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8978650 12/27/23 04:01 AM
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Local retired meteorologist said that “it doesn’t mean that it’s going to rain, it just improves the chances of rain”. I always thought that the Debbie downer doom & gloom guys with their “the state’s going to dry up” talk, were loco. Right now, they are sure looking a lot smarter. I think Medina is down to something like 3% full or 97% empty and Canyon is at a record low. Chokes getting close to a record low as well. bang

Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: grout-scout] #8978684 12/27/23 11:49 AM
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Originally Posted by grout-scout
Local retired meteorologist said that “it doesn’t mean that it’s going to rain, it just improves the chances of rain”. I always thought that the Debbie downer doom & gloom guys with their “the state’s going to dry up” talk, were loco. Right now, they are sure looking a lot smarter. I think Medina is down to something like 3% full or 97% empty and Canyon is at a record low. Chokes getting close to a record low as well. bang


Medina has been in a bad way my entire life. I'm 63. I think human design and planning, or lack thereof, might have something to do with it. 'Never understood why people live/move out there. 'Same with Canyon. When I was a kid, folks would get a place on Canyon and act like it was an estate on Lake Tahoe. 'More like cedar choppers.

Oh, there's "climate change", it's just been going on since God spoke and it's in the natural order of things.


...and have dominion over the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of the air, and over every living thing that moveth upon the earth. Gen. 1:28
Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: txtrophy85] #8978782 12/27/23 03:37 PM
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Originally Posted by txtrophy85
What about the cold and wet winter we were supposed to have….


I heard cool and wet. Maybe still waiting on the cool, but my Mills county place has had 20” of rain since August 27, and my home in Lubbock has been above avg in that same timeframe.


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Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: Creekrunner] #8978836 12/27/23 05:37 PM
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Originally Posted by Creekrunner
Originally Posted by grout-scout
Local retired meteorologist said that “it doesn’t mean that it’s going to rain, it just improves the chances of rain”. I always thought that the Debbie downer doom & gloom guys with their “the state’s going to dry up” talk, were loco. Right now, they are sure looking a lot smarter. I think Medina is down to something like 3% full or 97% empty and Canyon is at a record low. Chokes getting close to a record low as well. bang


Medina has been in a bad way my entire life. I'm 63. I think human design and planning, or lack thereof, might have something to do with it. 'Never understood why people live/move out there. 'Same with Canyon. When I was a kid, folks would get a place on Canyon and act like it was an estate on Lake Tahoe. 'More like cedar choppers.

Oh, there's "climate change", it's just been going on since God spoke and it's in the natural order of things.


Medina has a very narrow watershed and it has to catch rain in very localized spots to put water into it. They also irrigate out of it as well as supply water to SAWS so it’s getting drained.

Canyon also supplies water to various municipalities so it’s got a drain on it that it did not in decades past.

Choke, they don’t want it to be full. It rains they open the gates and send the water down to lake Mathis. If Mathis is full they open their gates to send it into the gulf. They are in record as stating they don’t want Choke to ever be full again.


However, these reservoirs were built to hold water for municipal use. The recreation was just a by product.


For it is not the quarry that we truly seek, but the adventure.
Re: 2024 EL NINO FORECAST [Re: jdickey] #8979449 12/29/23 01:32 AM
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And recreation beetches the most.


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