I think keeping a vehicle until it dies will become the norm.
Why wasn't it already? It's not like vehicles became overly complex overnight. I have a 2003 Yukon Denali with 184K bought in 2008 with 66K, 2005 Bonneville with 115K bought with 80K, a 2009 Saturn Vue with 148K bought with 135K, a 2007 Sierra with 181K bought with 77K, and a 2014 Chevy Equinox I got for free at 171K that has a 177K now. They're all paid for. Out of those five, I financed the Yukon for 5 years and paid the bank off in three. Financed the Sierra from my Dad on a three year but paid him off in one. The other three were cash.
Between houses and autos, I don't see how younger folks can afford to accumulate anything. They will never be out of debt if they have to finance everything for a long time. 40 year mortgages and 10 year car loans will probably be the result. It's a bad trap.
40 year mortgages and 10 year car notes are already the norm. I have one more kid to buy for in the next two years and I will consider replacing my wife's Yukon. She has been driving it for 15 years and it was five years old when I got it.
The dealerships deserve every bit that's coming at them.
The manufacturer should take by far the greatest blame. Dealers are just franchises.